Explorer

Five effects of a Trump Presidency on India

New Delhi: The republican president Donald Trump is a man no one knows what to make out of. He is an extremist with zero political experience. He has a long history of backtracking, denying his own statements and contradicting himself. On the basis of his electoral promises, his interviews, his speeches…Here’s what we think would be the outcome now that the Republican had made his triumphant way through the US Presidential race.
  • Immigration
Trump has had very strong views on Immigration. He expects to curb both legal and illegal immigration. Here, come in the H-1B visas. The H-1B visas – a non-immigration visa which allows U.S. companies to hire highly talented professionals temporarily. The H-1B visa is extremely important to the Indian software industry. Trump however, was quoted as saying that he would want to scrap this visa. The removal of this visa will have a disastrous effect on the Indian software companies send some of their staff to work on-site with their clients in the U.S. through the H-1B visas.
  • Trade
Trump’s vision of a Great America is very outdated and conservative. Trump sincerely believes that the world is robbing the Americans of their jobs and thus, wants to close its doors to trade. To do so, he plans to implement tariffs and quotas. Any tariff that Trump proposes to either China or Mexico will affect India as well. Also, many a times, Trump has also expressed his displeasure on the work that is outsourced by America to India.
  • Indian Economy
During the election process, Trump promised to lower taxes and increase military expenditure. It is assumed that to fulfill these promises, Trump will use government money that may lead to a debt burden and a falling dollar. And a recession in US, would obviously adversely affect investment and growth across the world, including India.
  • Terrorism
Then there’s the fact that Trump has openly expressed dislike for Pakistan. He’s really suspicious of the country.“India is the check to Pakistan,” he once said in an interview, reportedly. “You have to get India involved ... They have their own nukes and have a very powerful army. They seem to be the real check.” This distrust for Pakistan can work in India's and the world's favour.
  • Strategic Relationship
Though Trump has been very vocal about fighting terror, he doesn’t seem to understand India’s concerns much. In fact, it is feared that his soft approach towards Russia may force him to reconsider US policy towards China and that can have serious consequences for India. Nonetheless, in many parts of India, prayers are going on for Donald Trump. Recently Trump in a programme said that he wanted to give Prime Minister Narendra Modi like government in America and also raised slogan-“Abki bar Trump sarkar” (Trump government this time). So, we have other encouraging signs to dwell on. Trump has already visited India, announced his enthusiasm for the Modi government and vowed to invest in big projects here. Trump also stressed that if his government comes to power, US and India will have strongest friendship. Listen to Trump say, 'Abki baar, Trump sarkaar' So, let’s not be judgmental. A Trump government might actually be on good terms with the current Indian one than you might think.
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