POLITICAL pundits have
predicted that Congress is all set to retain the majority in Manipur
despite losing approximately 4% share in total seats since 2007. The
ruling party expects to win 34-35 of the 60 seats in the Manipur Assembly.
The All India Trinamool Congress is expected to emerge with a strong hand,
and predictions state that it may win as many as 13 seats. To retain its
hold on the state assembly, the Congress must hope for a divided
opposition. If it manages to remain in power, this will be the party's
third consecutive term as majority party. Chief Minister Okram Ibobi Singh
is the preferred choice for a large number of Manipuris. Most people
appear to have voted for individual candidates rather than for the parties
they belong to. An interesting sentiment that surfaced was that the
majority of people thought that it was best if the same party which was
ruling at the centre ruled in Manipur.
Trinamool Congress which
fought in 47 seats, had a fair representative of candidates who earlier
were powerful constituents of MPP (Manipur Peoples Party). MPP, the
regional party which was the only opposition to the ruling congress, lost
miserably in the last election and most of its members chose the TMC as
the best alternative to ride upon and encash the anti-congress sentiments
of the people.
However, in the run up to the polls, the scenario changed thick and fast
for Trinamool Congress and after the polls it seems that Mamata Didi's
party can win around 13 seats. However it can be said that the candidates
who would win for TMC would do so on their own credibility rather than the
However for the voters its not who is coming back to power, but whether
their perennial issues of nagging economic blockades and militancy shall
be solved or not. After all these were the key factors on which the Royal
Manipur Assemby Battles were fought.